Chapter 3

Chapter 3

The Australian dairy industry

Overview

3.1        Based on a farmgate value of production of $3.4 billion in 2009­–10, the dairy industry ranks as Australia's third largest agricultural industry (behind the beef and wheat industries). It is estimated that approximately 40 000 people are directly employed on farms and in manufacturing. Additional employment would occur in other areas reliant on the dairy industry, such as transport and distribution.[1]

3.2        Milk production is concentrated in the south-east region of Australia. Victoria is the highest producer, accounting for over 60 per cent of milk output.

Figure 3.1: Australian dairy farming regions

Figure 3.1: Australian dairy farming regions

Source: ABARE, Australian dairy: financial performance of Australian dairy farms, 2007–08 to 2009–10, June 2010, p. 3.

3.3        Australian milk production in 2009–10 yielded 9.02 billion litres, a decrease of 365 million litres (3.9 per cent) from 2008–09 levels. Dairy Australia, the national dairy research and industry services body, reasoned that this decrease in production:

...reflected generally benign conditions and strong milk prices in the domestically-focussed northern states; but also reflected the low milk prices and the financial challenges faced by dairy farmers in the export-focussed south-east dairying regions of the country. The irrigated regions of southern New South Wales and northern Victoria also faced another year of difficult conditions; with low water allocations and milk production suffered accordingly.[2]

Table 3.1: Milk production by State (million litres)

 

NSW

VIC

QLD

SA

WA

TAS

Australia

1999–00

1,395

6,870

848

713

412

609

10,847

2000–01

1,326

6,784

760

699

388

590

10,546

2001–02

1,343

7,405

744

715

393

671

11,271

2002–03

1,302

6,584

720

733

404

585

10,328

2003–04

1,271

6,434

674

703

404

590

10,076

2004–05

1,218

6,613

619

679

398

600

10,127

2005–06*

1,197

6,651

597

646

377

622

10,089

2006–07*

1,105

6,297

534

655

350

642

9,583

2007–08*

1,049

6,102

485

606

319

662

9,223

2008–09*

1,065

6,135

512

628

340

708

9,388

2009–10* (p)

1,074

5,790

531

605

350

673

9,023

* From July 2005, data collection based on farm location.

Source: Dairy Australia, 'Milk' http://www.dairyaustralia.com.au/Our-Dairy-Industry/Industry-Statistics/Milk.aspx (accessed 22 February 2011), originally sourced from dairy manufacturers.

3.4        In 2009–10 just under 45 per cent of milk produced in Australia was exported.[3] Due to declining production, this is the lowest proportion since the mid‑1990s.[4]

3.5        Conversely, the proportion of milk production that has gone into drinking milk has generally increased over the past ten years, from 17 per cent in 2001–02.[5] In 2009–10 the proportion of milk used nationwide for drinking milk, as opposed to manufacturing, was projected to be 25 per cent.

Figure 3.2: Drinking and manufacturing milk production (by State)

Figure 3.2: Drinking and manufacturing milk production (by State)

Source: Dairy Australia, Australian Dairy Industry in Focus 2010, p. 20, originally sourced from dairy manufacturers.

Dairy farmers

3.6        The number of dairy farms in Australia has decreased by two-thirds over the last three decades from around 22 000 in 1980 to 7500 in mid-2010. Dairy Australia considers that falling farm numbers reflect 'a long-term trend observed in agriculture around the world, as reduced price support and changing business practices have encouraged a shift to larger, more efficient operating systems'. Dairy Australia notes that average herd size has increased from 85 cows in 1980 to an estimated 220 in 2010.[6]

3.7        Over the past few decades, this increase in productivity has led to milk output generally increasing despite decreasing farm numbers. In the last decade, milk production has been affected by weather events, such as the drought in 2002–03 and long-term seasonal issues resulting in high production costs and low water allocations.[7] Dairy Australia has also downgraded its forecast for milk production for 2010–11 due to the recent floods and other factors.[8]

3.8        Trends in farm gate prices, profitability and the contracts between farmers and processors are discussed in Chapter 4.

Milk processors

3.9        In 1986 when the first steps to deregulate the industry were taken, it was widely recognised that rationalisation was required if the industry was to become more efficient. During the late 1980s to 1999, much rationalisation had occurred in the manufacturing sector through mergers. Over that time, the volume of milk processed by the five major companies also increased from 50 per cent to 75 per cent.

3.10      The manufacturing sector of the Australian dairy industry has continued to rationalise. This has resulted in increased foreign ownership and a reduction in the market share of farmer owned cooperatives. The most significant recent event was the acquisition of Dairy Farmers by National Foods during 2008–09. The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) decided not to oppose the acquisition on the condition that certain assets were divested.

Table 3.2: Major dairy processors

Milk volume direct supply 2009–10 (billion litres)

Murray Goulburn

2.9

Fonterra

1.8

National Foods

1.7

Warrnambool Cheese & Butter Factory

0.8

Parmalat

0.6

Tatura

0.3

United Dairy Power (UDP)

0.2


Source: Dairy Australia, Dairy 2010 Situation and Outlook, May 2010, p. 38.

3.11      A proposal for further consolidation was considered in the first half of 2010. On 22 February 2010, the ACCC commenced a review of Murray Goulburn's proposed acquisition of Warrnambool Cheese and Butter Factory Company. The ACCC released a Statement of Issues in April which raised certain preliminary competition concerns with the proposed acquisition. On 2 June 2010 Murray Goulburn announced that it would not proceed with the acquisition and the ACCC consequently ceased its review.

3.12      The drinking milk market is more concentrated than the overall dairy products market, with National Foods and Parmalat being the only major processors. Smaller processors with regional brands continue to operate in some regions.[9] Fonterra, which had about 3 per cent of the national market share for drinking milk, has now virtually left the market by selling its Brownes milk business in Western Australia to Archer Capital. The sale was completed in March 2011.[10]

3.13      Since the committee's previous inquiry reported in May 2010, a significant event in the processing sector was the announcement on 29 October 2010 that Challenge Dairy, a south-west WA cooperative, had gone into voluntary administration owing substantial amounts of money to farmers. The ABC reported in late December 2010 that 47 dairy farmers in south west WA were owed over $4 million for unpaid milk.[11] Challenge's assets were sold to Harvey Fresh in February 2011, with the sale and payments to creditors reported to be finalised in the next few months.

Retailers

3.14      The major supermarket chains sell milk in two formats: 'generic' milk (also variously known as 'home brand', 'store brand' or 'private label') which usually carries the name of the supermarket selling it and 'branded' milk which usually carries the name of the processor.[12]

3.15      About 25 per cent of Australian milk production is used for drinking milk. Dairy Australia estimates that 13 per cent of national milk production is sold in supermarkets as drinking milk.[13] Coles have stated that their total milk sales (private and branded milk) make up less than four per cent of national milk production[14]—although this would represent a more significant share of the drinking milk market. When asked about their share of that market, Coles advised it was approximately 17 per cent.[15]

Figure 3.3: Market shares in Australian milk production

Figure 3.3: Market shares in Australian milk production

Source: Coles, Submission 131, p. 12; originally sourced from Dairy Australia.

3.16      The volume of all milk sold by supermarkets under their own private label has increased from around 25 per cent in 1999–00 to 50 per cent in 2009–10.[16] Dairy Australia estimates that the market share of full cream private label milk is currently about 71 per cent, up from about 59 per cent in 2000–01.[17] In other dairy categories the penetration of supermarket private label brands is lower, accounting for approximately 30 per cent of cheese sales, 28 per cent of dairy spreads, and 6 per cent of yogurt.[18]

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