Fiscal projections and sustainability

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on Australia's debt position.

The PBO’s fiscal projections and sustainability work helps to inform the public debate about the drivers of key budget outcomes over the next decade and fiscal sustainability over the next 40 years.

The interactive fiscal sustainability dashboard provides trajectories for gross debt using selected scenarios of key variables. The framework underpinning the dashboard was introduced in the Fiscal sustainability report, which examines the sustainability of the government’s fiscal position over the next 40 years.

The regular Beyond the budget report provides independent projections of key budget outcomes such as debt and the budget balance over the next decade and regular updates to the longer-term fiscal scenarios analysis in the Fiscal sustainability report. The Beyond the budget report was previously known as the Medium-term fiscal projections report.

Fiscal sustainability dashboard

The interactive fiscal sustainability dashboard provides trajectories for gross debt using selected scenarios of key variables – economic growth, interest rates and the budget balance.

MS Excel PBO Fiscal sustainability dashboard 2022-23 (130KB)

PBO Fiscal sustainability dashboard 2021-22 (158 KB)

Parliamentary Library seminar series address, Webinar, 15 September 2021
Click here to view the full 'Fiscal sustainability' webinar presented by Stein Helgeby, Parliamentary Budget Officer.
- For more information:
  Address: (256 KB)
  Presentation with all charts: (6.05 MB)

2022

Beyond the budget 2022-23: Fiscal outlook and scenarios
Date issued: 8 December 2022

2013–2021

Beyond the budget 2021-22: Fiscal outlook and scenarios
Full report: (1.63 MB) (1.51 MB)
Date issued: 21 September 2021
- For more information:
  Snapshot:  (213 KB)
  Supplementary paper:  (1.38 MB)   (1.74 MB)
  Presentation with all charts:  (3.44 MB)
  Data pack:  (521 KB)

Fiscal sustainability
Full report: (994 KB) (1.05 MB) Data: (395 KB)
Date issued: 28 April 2021
- For more information:
  At a glance: (123 KB)

2020–21 Medium-term fiscal projections
(1.35 MB) (1.28 MB) Data: (94 KB)
Date issued: 10 December 2020

2019–20 Medium-term fiscal projections
(2.04 MB) (2.04 MB) Data: (59 KB)
Date issued: 26 September 2019

2018–19 Budget: medium-term projections
(2.38 MB) (1.21 MB) Data: (53 KB)
Date issued: 06 September 2018

2017–18 Budget medium-term projections: economic scenario analysis
(897 KB) (803 KB) Data: (169 KB)
Date issued: 07 December 2017

Economic impact of selected macroeconomic shocks
Report prepared for the PBO
Chris Murphy, 24 November 2017
(737 KB)

2017–18 Budget: medium-term projections
(897 KB) (394 KB) Data: (694 KB)
Date issued: 05 July 2017

2015–16 Budget: medium-term projections
(318 KB) (256 KB) Data: (18 KB)
Date issued: 24 June 2015

Projections of Government spending over the medium term
(1.37 MB) (1.51 MB)
Date issued: 22 August 2014

Trends in Australian Government receipts
1982–83 to 2012–13
(1.22 MB) (1.54 MB) Data: (1.45 MB)
Date issued: 15 April 2014

Australian Government spending
Part 1: Historical trends from 2002–03 to 2012–13
(1.88 MB) (1.73 MB) Data: (41 KB)
Date issued: 10 December 2013

The PBO welcomes your feedback on this publication

PO Box 6010
Parliament House
Canberra ACT 2600

02 6277 9500

pbo@pbo.gov.au

December 2024

Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat
1 Other	2 Other	3 Other	4 Senate	5 Senate	6 Other	7
8	9 Senate	10 Senate	11 Senate	12 Other	13 Other	14
15 Senate	16 Other	17 Other	18	19 Senate	20	21
22	23	24	25	26	27	28
29	30 House of Representatives	31	1	2	3	4

Senate
House of Representatives
Both
Public Holiday
Other

30 Dec 24: Inquiry Submission Closing Alcohol and drugs

Date	Title
15/12/24	Inquiry Submission Closing NBN Public Ownership bill
16/12/24	House Committee Public Hearing
16/12/24	House Committee Public Hearing
18/12/24	Inquiry Submission Closing DOD LAND 8113 Phase 1
18/12/24	Inquiry Submission Closing DCCEEW Davis Critical Inf
18/12/24	Inquiry Submission Closing SA Walker St Townsville
18/12/24	Inquiry Submission Closing SA Caroline Chisholm ACT
19/12/24	Inquiry Report Tabling EnergyPlanning
19/12/24	Inquiry Submission Closing AntisemitismAusUni

Parliamentary sitting calendar

Go to the full calendar of events