Research reports are listed below by publication number and date order, with the most recent first.

See the PBO data portal, for all research report-related data.

 

2022

• National fiscal outlook: As at 2022-23 Budgets
  Date issued: 5 October 2022

2021

• National fiscal outlook: As at 2021-22 Budgets
  Date issued: 2 December 2021

• Government finances: June quarter 2021
  Date issued: 21 October 2021
   (287 KB)    (1.03 MB)   Data:  (605 KB) 

• Government finances: March quarter 2021
  Date issued: 6 May 2021
   (224 KB)    (891 KB)   Data:  (433 KB)

• National fiscal outlook: As at 2020–21 mid-year fiscal updates
  Date issued: 4 March 2021

• Government finances: December quarter 2020
  Date issued: 11 February 2021
   (392 KB)    (892 KB)   Data:  (433 KB)

 

2020

• 2020–21 Medium-term fiscal projections
  Report no. 04/2020
  Date issued: 10 December 2020

• Government finances: September quarter 2020
  Date issued: 11 November 2020
   (324 KB)    (988 KB)   Data:  (411 KB)
  
  This publication will now be released quarterly, with the next edition to follow publication of the December 2020 monthly financial statements.

• JobSeeker Payment: Understanding economic and policy trends affecting Commonwealth expenditure
  Report no. 03/2020
  Date issued: 30 September 2020

• Structural trends in GST
  Date issued: 4 September 2020


• Updated medium-term fiscal scenarios: impact of COVID-19 pandemic and response
  Date issued: 21 August 2020
   (305 KB)    (1.05 MB)   Data: (21 KB)

• Government finances: May 2020
  Date issued: 8 July 2020
   (346 KB)    (1.11 MB)   Data: (440 KB)

• Government finances: April 2020
  Date issued: 9 June 2020
   (378 KB)    (1.02 MB)   Data:  (439 KB)

• Medium-term fiscal projection scenarios: impact of COVID-19 pandemic and response
  Date issued: 5 June 2020
   (505 KB)    (1.12 MB)   Data: (19 KB)


• Medium-term fiscal projection scenarios: technical appendix
  Date issued: 5 June 2020
   (185 KB)    (115 KB)

• Government finances: March 2020
  Date issued: 8 May 2020
   (490 KB)    (1.12 MB)   Data: (438 KB)

• Alternative financing of government policies: Understanding the fiscal costs and risks of loans, equity injections and guarantees
  Report no. 01/2020
  Date issued: 19 March 2020 

2019

• 2019–20 National fiscal outlook: As at 2019–20 budgets
  Report no. 04/2019
  Date issued: 27 November 2019 

• 2019–20 Medium-term fiscal projections
  Report no. 03/2019
  Date issued: 26 September 2019 

• Australia's ageing population - Understanding the fiscal impacts over the next decade
  Report no. 02/2019
  Date issued: 01 April 2019 

• Net debt and investment funds – Trends and balance sheet implications
  Report no. 01/2019
  Date issued: 14 March 2019

 

2018

• National fiscal outlook: As at 2018–19 budget
  Report no. 04/2018
  Date issued: 29 November 2018

• 2018–2019 Budget: medium-term projections
  Report no. 03/2018
  Date issued: 06 September 2018

• Trends affecting the sustainability of Commonwealth taxes
  Report no. 02/2018
  Date issued: 18 July 2018

• Disability Support Pension – Historical and projected trends
  Report no. 01/2018
  Date issued: 20 February 2018

2017

• 2017–18 Budget medium-term projections: economic scenario analysis
  Report no. 05/2017
  Date issued: 07 December 2017

• National fiscal outlook: As at 2017–18 budgets
  Report no. 04/2017
  Date issued: 19 October 2017

• Changes in average personal income tax rates: distributional impacts
  Report no. 03/2017
  Date issued: 11 October 2017

• 2017–18 Budget: medium-term projections
  Report no. 02/2017
  Date issued: 05 July 2017

• Future Fund drawdown scenarios: Budget implications
  Report no. 01/2017
  Date issued: 08 February 2017

2016

• National Broadband Network: Impact on the Budget
  Report no. 04/2016
  Date issued: 14 December 2016

• National fiscal outlook: As at 2016–17 budgets
  Report no. 03/2016
  Date issued: 02 November 2016

• Higher Education Loan Programme: Impact on the Budget
  Report no. 02/2016
  Date issued: 06 April 2016

• Higher Education Loan Programme — supplementary analysis
  Date issued: 20 April 2016

• National fiscal outlook: As at 2015–16 mid-year fiscal updates
  Report no. 01/2016
  Date issued: 03 February 2016

2015

• Goods and Services Tax: Distributional analysis and indicative reform scenarios
  Report no. 05/2015
  Date issued: 09 December 2015

• Medicare Benefits Schedule: Spending trends and projections
  Report no. 04/2015
  Date issued: 25 November 2015

• Alcohol taxation in Australia
  Report no. 03/2015
  Date issued: 14 October 2015

Update:
Table 3-1, 3-2 and Figure 3-2 were updated on 9 March 2017 by the PBO on request from the Chair of the Senate Select Committee on Red Tape.  A copy of this request and response can be found below.

Inquiry into the effect of red tape on the sale, supply and taxation of alcohol
2 March 2017: Request to provide information  (1,584 KB)
9 March 2017: PBO response   (513 KB)  (233KB)

• 2015–16 Budget: medium-term projections
  Report no. 02/2015
  Date issued: 24 June 2015

• National fiscal trends
  Report no. 01/2015
  Date issued: 29 April 2015

2014

• The sensitivity of budget projections to changes in economic parameters:
  Estimates from 2014–15 to 2024–25
  Report no. 03/2014
  Date issued: 26 November 2014

2013

• Estimates of the structural budget balance of the Australian Government
  2001–02 to 2016–17
  Report no. 01/2013
  Date issued: 22 May 2013

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