Chapter 3
The Proposed Carbon Pollution
Reduction Scheme
Introduction
3.1
This chapter outlines the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (CPRS)
including the major differences between the Carbon Pollution Reduction
Scheme: Green Paper (the Green Paper) and the Carbon Pollution Reduction
Scheme: Australia's Low Pollution Future – White Paper (the White Paper). The
committee received extensive feedback regarding the limitations of the proposed
CPRS. Chapter 3 will explore the issues raised including the questionable
environmental benefits of the scheme in terms of reducing global emissions, the
proposed timing of the implementation of the scheme, and the lack of
recognition of individual action.
What is the CPRS?
3.2
The government has stated that the CPRS is the 'centrepiece of
Australia's domestic emissions reduction strategy.'[1]
It is a cap and trade based emissions trading scheme.
The
Green Paper
3.3
The Green Paper was essentially a consultation document which set out
the government's initial proposed approach for the establishment of an
Australian emissions trading scheme (ETS), and presented options and preferred
approaches to various issues.[2]
3.4
The government stated that the Green Paper was informed by consultations
undertaken from March to June 2008, by the Garnaut Climate Change Review:
Final Report and the work of the Task Group on Emissions Trading and the
National Emissions Trading Taskforce.[3]
3.5
The Green Paper was released on 16 July 2008. This was followed
by consultation from July to September 2008.
Key
content
3.6
The Green Paper outlined a cap and trade approach to an ETS, under which
a cap is set, and the government issues carbon pollution permits equal to that
cap. Emitters must obtain permits, monitor their emissions, and at the end of
each year, must provide a permit for each tonne of emissions they produced in
that year.[4]
3.7
The scheme proposed very broad coverage, including all six greenhouse
gases listed under the Kyoto Protocol: carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide,
sulphur hexafluoride, hydrofluorocarbons and perfluorocarbons.[5]
3.8
The Green Paper proposed coverage of 75 per cent of
Australia's emissions including the following sectors: stationary energy,
transport, industrial processes, waste, and fugitive emissions. Forestry would be
included from commencement on a voluntary 'opt-in' basis, while agriculture would
not be covered until 2015. Obligations would apply to facilities which directly
emit 25 000 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per year or more.[6]
3.9
The Green Paper noted that the proposed scheme would be designed to link
with schemes developed overseas.[7]
3.10
The Green Paper proposed to use the National Greenhouse and Energy
Reporting Act 2007, introduced by the previous government, as the basis for
a single national emissions reporting framework and the establishment of an
independent scheme regulator. The regulator would have the role of monitoring
and enforcing compliance, running permit auctions, allocating free permits and
maintaining the national emissions registry.[8]
3.11
The Green Paper also provided for assistance to households, business,
regions, workers, emissions-intensive trade-exposed industries and strongly
affected industries.[9]
Issues
raised
3.12
A number of issues relating to the scheme as proposed in the Green Paper
were raised with the committee. The overwhelming majority of these were to do
with the definition of emissions intensive trade exposed (EITE) industries and
strongly affected industries, and the assistance afforded to them under the
Green Paper. These are discussed in chapter 5. To an extent, some of the
concerns raised with the committee were addressed by the White Paper, as
explained below.
7B7BThe
White Paper
3.13
On 15 December 2008, the White Paper was released, setting out
the government's decisions on the design and operation of the CPRS.[10]
3.14
This section sets out the aspects of the White Paper on which the
committee received evidence. The concerns expressed to the committee about the
White Paper then follow.
Key
content
3.15
The White Paper largely retained the same main elements of the scheme as
outlined in the Green Paper, but provided further detail or clarification on
various aspects.
3.16
The White Paper articulated the government's medium term emissions
reduction target as follows:
The target range for emissions reductions to be achieved by
2020 will be from 5 per cent to 15 per cent below 2000 levels.
The range represents:
-
a minimum
(unconditional) commitment to reduce emissions to 5 per cent below 2000 levels
by 2020 (projected to be a 27 per cent reduction in per capita terms)
-
a
commitment to reduce emissions by up to 15 per cent below 2000 levels by 2020 (projected
to be a 34 per cent reduction in per capita terms) in the context of global agreement
under which all major economies commit to substantially restrain emissions and
advanced economies take on reductions comparable to Australia.
The Government recognises that ambitious global action is in
Australia’s national interest.
In the event that a
comprehensive global agreement were to emerge over time, involving emissions
commitments by both developed and developing countries that are consistent with
long-term stabilisation of atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases at
450 ppm CO2-e or lower, Australia is prepared to establish its post-2020
targets so as to ensure it plays its full role in achieving the agreed goal.[11]
3.17
An indicative national emissions trajectory was also outlined in the
White Paper:
The national
emissions trajectory represents the national emissions reduction commitment over
the period covered by the trajectory as a whole. It is not a projection of
expected actual emissions for that period.[12]
...
The first indicative national emissions trajectory will be:
-
in
2010–11, 109 per cent of 2000 levels
-
in
2011–12, 108 per cent of 2000 levels
-
in 2012–13, 107 per cent of 2000 levels.[13]
3.18
The government confirmed scheme caps and gateways in the White Paper as
follows:
The Government will specify Scheme caps for at least five
years in advance. In addition, up to a further 10 years of guidance will be
provided through the establishment of ‘gateways’ or ranges within which future
Scheme caps will lie. To maintain five years’ guidance, Scheme caps will be
extended by one year, every year. Gateways will be extended for five years, every
five years.
The first five years
of Scheme caps will be announced in 2010, before the Scheme commences and after
the Copenhagen meeting of the Parties to the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Kyoto Protocol.[14]
3.19
The White Paper noted that, in terms of the auctioning of permits:
Allocations will,
over the longer term, progressively move towards 100 per cent auctioning as the
Scheme matures, subject to the provision of transitional assistance for
emissions-intensive trade-exposed industries and strongly affected industries.[15]
3.20
The government provided for the international trade of permits in the
White Paper:
The use of eligible
international units for compliance in the Scheme will not be subject to any quantitative
limitations.[16]
3.21
In respect of large electricity users, the White Paper stated:
For large
electricity users that consume more than 2000 gigawatt-hours a year at a single
facility, contractual arrangements will be considered by the regulator to
determine an entity-specific electricity allocation factor if those contracts
were entered into before 3 June 2007 and remain in force on 1 January
2010.[17]
3.22
Some issues regarding legacy emissions from landfill sites were covered in
the White Paper:
Emissions from
landfill waste sites that closed prior to 30 June 2008 will not be included in
the scheme. Emissions from waste deposited prior to 1 January 2009 will be
excluded from the Scheme until 2018.[18]
3.23
Following a number of concerns raised regarding the EITE assistance,
various aspects of the eligibility assessment and the quantum of the assistance
provided for were altered. The government released the following table
summarising the changes to the EITE assistance:
Table 3.1 Summary of EITE Assistance Changes
Issue |
White Paper position |
Green Paper position |
Extension of assistance to activities at a lower level of
emissions-intensity |
The threshold for the 60 per cent rate of assistance has been lowered
to apply to activities with an emissions-intensity between 1000 and 1999 t CO2-e
per million dollars of revenue or 3000 and 5999 t CO2-e per
million dollars of value-added. |
The threshold for the 60 per cent rate of assistance was to apply to
activities with an emissions-intensity between about 1500 and 2000 t CO2-e
per million dollars of revenue. |
Metric for assessing emissions intensity |
Emissions intensity, for the purposes of determining eligibility of
an activity for receiving assistance under the EITE assistance program, will
be assessed on either:
- the weighted average emissions per million dollars
of revenue generated by entities conducting the activity; or
- the weighted average emissions per million dollars
of value added generated by entities conducting the activity. Where an entity
requests that the Government use this metric, the entity and Government will
need to agree on which input costs will be adjusted to calculate a proxy for
value added for the activity.
|
Relative carbon cost exposures of different activities assessed using
emissions per million dollars of revenue. |
Emissions associated with the production of natural gas used as
feedstock |
Assessment of the eligibility of activities and the determination of
the baseline allocations will include the cost increases related to the
upstream emissions associated with the production of natural gas and its
components when they are used as a feedstock. |
No assistance should be provided for any upstream emissions costs
other than those associated with electricity. |
Period of assessment |
Emissions-intensity will be
assessed on estimates of revenue or value-added per unit of production in the
period from 2004-05 to the first half of 2008-09. |
Data from 2006-07 to
2007-08 used to assess eligibility. |
Trade exposure test |
Trade exposure of an
activity will be assessed on either its trade share being greater than 10 per
cent in any year since 2004-05 or a demonstrated lack of capacity to pass
through costs due to the potential for international competition. |
Any activity for which
there was no physical barrier to trade would be considered for EITE
assistance. |
Carbon productivity contribution |
Initial rates of assistance (90 or 60 per cent) accorded each EITE
activity will be reduced by the carbon productivity contribution of 1.3 per
cent per annum to ensure that EITE activities share in the national
improvement in carbon productivity. |
Rates of assistance to be reduced over time with the intent that the
share of assistance to the EITE sector would not increase significantly over
time. |
Quantum of assistance |
EITE industries will be allocated around 25 per cent of total carbon
permits at the start of the Scheme (equivalent to around 35 per cent if
agricultural emissions were included in the Scheme). Depending on growth in
EITE industries and future global developments, EITE assistance could reach
to around 45 per cent of permits by 2020.
Eligibility thresholds or initial rates of assistance will not be
readjusted or recalibrated in light of any subsequent information about the
quantum of assistance likely to be provided as EITE assistance. |
Up to around 30 per cent of total available permits to be allocated
to entities conducting EITE activities, taking into account the likely
allocation to EITE agriculture industries from any eventual inclusion of
agricultural emissions in the Scheme. |
Review of the EITE assistance program |
The EITE assistance program will be reviewed every 5 years or at
another date at the request of the Minister for Climate Change and Water in
relation to:
- whether additional activities should be considered
for EITE assistance on account of changes in commodity prices or Scheme
coverage
- whether modifications should be made to the EITE
assistance program on the basis of whether it continues to be consistent with
the rationale for assistance, is conferring windfall gains on entities
conducting activities and is appropriately balancing the competing policy
objectives
- whether assistance should be withdrawn because
broadly comparable carbon constraints are applying internationally, at either
an industry or economy-wide level, or an international agreement involving
Australia and all major emitting economies is concluded.
|
Five year EITE review to examine similar issues though the Government
did not canvass the inclusion of additional activities. |
Australian Government, EITE
Assistance Program: Changes from the Green Paper Position, Fact Sheet, December
2008.
Issues
raised
3.24
The majority of evidence the committee received about the changes to the
scheme as set out in the White Paper noted that while the White Paper contained
some improvements from the Green Paper, particularly in regard to EITE industries,
significant further changes were necessary to protect Australia's trade exposed
industries and prevent carbon leakage.
3.25
The Australian Industry Greenhouse Network (AIGN) noted:
The White Paper
proposes an improved program of permit allocations emission intensive
trade-exposed industry and Climate Change Action Fund (CCAF) grants for other
industry. The proposed program, however, does not offset the competitive
disadvantage of trade-exposed businesses, and losses of jobs and investment
will be inevitable for minimal environmental gain.[19]
3.26
The AIGN further commented:
Importantly, the
White Paper proposes to allocate permits to coal-fired electricity generators
that will suffer considerable asset value loss under the emissions trading
scheme. However, the level of compensation offered is just $3.7 billion,
whereas modelling published in the White Paper shows losses around $10 billion
at a permit price of $25/tCO2. A fairer outcome is needed.[20]
3.27
The Australian Aluminium Council (AAC) 'recognises that the proposed
decay rate of 1.3 per cent is an improvement over options proposed in the Green
Paper...' but argues that assistance should not be reduced over time if
international competitors are not subject to comparative carbon costs.[21]
3.28
The AAC further noted the recognition of large electricity users in the
White Paper, but commented that 'This is appropriate for existing contracts but
is a threat to the viability of large users at the time of contract renewal.'[22]
3.29
While organisations noted that under the White Paper the liquid natural
gas (LNG) sector would be eligible for assistance, the DomGas Alliance drew
attention to the fact that domestic natural gas production does not qualify for
assistance, and the effects of this could be significant:
To the extent that the gas supplier is not able to pass onto
its customers the carbon costs incurred at every step in the gas supply chain,
this will distort investment decisions in favour of LNG over domestic gas. Where
gas producers are able to pass on carbon costs to the domestic market, this
will further increase the cost of natural gas for downstream industry.
The CPRS could cause
serious domestic gas shortages, result in higher gas and electricity prices,
lead to investment distortion, and undermine Australia’s energy security.[23]
3.30
Qantas noted their concern that aviation still does not qualify for transitional
assistance under the CPRS, even though it is clearly energy intensive and trade
exposed.[24]
3.31
The South West Group welcomed the White Paper's proposed treatment of
legacy emissions from the waste sector. However, the group noted that no
financial assistance had been provided for local governments under the scheme
as proposed, and that the treatment of landfill facilities in close proximity
to each other creates an administrative burden for local government.[25]
3.32
The committee has also received evidence from the Mackay Regional
Council, Gladstone Regional Council and the Wollongong Council that the costs
associated with purchasing permits for landfill sites will have a significant impact
on local government and will likely lead to the councils imposing increased
charges.[26]
Representatives of the Mackay Regional Council stated that the additional cost:
...could be an additional $5 million a year in total in
relation to carbon permits for this council.
...
Basically, we are
talking about there being rate rises. That is effectively the only method we
think would be able to fund those things.[27]
3.33
The Energy Supply Association of Australia also noted that the scheme
caps and gateways provided for in the White Paper are insufficient and will not
provide investment certainty:
However, the White
Paper’s proposal to only commit to five years of firm Scheme caps is
disappointing...the proposed timeframes for the Scheme caps and gateways do not
appropriately balance certainty and flexibility... This is an inadequate
timeframe for planning long-lived, capital intensive investments.[28]
3.34
The Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association (APPEA)
provided evidence to the committee that the change to the treatment of LNG from
the Green Paper to the White Paper that provides for an allocation of permits:
...implies that the
adverse impacts on the LNG may be lessened by White Paper’s policy position
compared to that proposed under the Green Paper. It remains the case, however,
that the industry will face a significant cost impact not faced by its
competitors and customers and that the growth and development prospects of the
Australian LNG industry will be adversely impacted as a direct result.[29]
Draft legislation
3.35
The exposure drafts of six pieces of legislation which the government
stated will give effect to the White Paper were released on
10 March 2009. These are:
-
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme Bill 2009
-
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (Consequential Amendments) Bill
2009
-
Australian Climate Change Regulatory Authority Bill 2009
-
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (Charges—General) Bill 2009
-
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (Charges—Excise) Bill 2009
-
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (Charges—Customs) Bill 2009
3.36
Mr Barry Sterland, Acting Deputy Secretary of the Department of Climate
Change, informed the committee that:
The exposure draft reflects the policy positions that the
government outlined in the white paper and provides a bit of further detail in some
areas of how that policy will be implemented.
The legislation
consists of six bills. The Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme Bill is the main bill
and includes all the key provisions. The Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme
(Consequential Amendments) Bill provides for amendments to existing
legislation, particularly the National Greenhouse and Energy Reporting Act and
taxation legislation, to accommodate the new scheme. The Australian Climate
Change Regulatory Authority Bill provides for a new regulatory body to
implement the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme, the renewable energy target
and the National Greenhouse and Energy Reporting System. Three charges bills
provide for charges to be imposed for the auction of Australian emission units
or for the issue of units at fixed charge in the event that these are
considered to be taxes for constitutional purposes. The Commonwealth does not
consider these charges to be taxes and has taken an approach of abundant
caution in case a court reaches a different view on these questions at some
time in the future.[30]
3.37
The report of the Senate Standing Committee on Economics on the exposure
draft of this legislation was presented on 16 April 2009.
Prime Minister's announcement of
4 May 2009
3.38
On Monday 4 May 2009, the Prime Minister made a number of
announcements relating to the design and implementation of the CPRS, including:
-
A delay in the implementation of the CPRS from
1 July 2010 to 1 July 2011;
-
Fixing the price of carbon permits until 1 July 2012;
-
Protection for EITE industries for the first five years of the
scheme under a 'Global Recession Buffer';
-
The establishment of an Australian Carbon Trust;
-
Funding for businesses to undertake energy efficiency measures
from 1 July 2009; and
-
A commitment to reducing Australia's carbon pollution by
25 per cent by 2020 if the world agrees to an ambitious global deal
to stabilise levels of CO2 equivalent at 450 parts per million or
lower.[31]
Issues regarding the CPRS
3.39
Following is an overview of many of the issues raised by witnesses and
submitters regarding the CPRS. The remainder of the report will discuss some of
the issues raised with the committee in detail.
3.40
While the committee received evidence from a number of witnesses
supporting an emissions trading policy approach in principle,[32]
many witnesses claimed the design of the CPRS as currently proposed was flawed in
that it would not achieve the emissions reductions and low cost abatement
opportunities that emissions trading schemes are intended to accomplish. This
again highlights the point that not all emissions trading systems are the same
and the importance of properly considering the particular design features of any
scheme.
Lack
of environmental benefit
3.41
The committee notes the comment of Professor Ross Garnaut:
The most
inappropriate response would be to delude ourselves, taking small actions that
create an appearance of action, but which do not solve the problem.[33]
3.42
The AIGN highlighted the view that the focus should be on reducing
global emissions:
If the best place to
have the investment is here then that is where it ought to be, not somewhere
else...we are talking about global emissions here. That is what is important. If
the most efficient place to have them is in Australia then that is where they
ought to be.[34]
3.43
Mr Tony Westmore, Senior Policy Officer (Electricity) of the Australian
Council of Social Service argued:
...we think that the
targets and trajectories have been set too low and are restrained in ways that
are not going to be effective. So it is certainly a concern of mine that we are
going to build this machinery that is not going to be very effective at all.[35]
3.44
Ms Fiona Wain the Chief Executive Officer of Environment Business
Australia further argued that the CPRS would not assist Australia in the
transition to a low emission economy:
I do not think that
the CPRS, as it is outlined in the white paper, is a true market mechanism and
I do not think it will deliver what we have asked for it to deliver. If it is
going to be maintained as it is written down in the white paper, we are going
to need some significant bolt-ons such as an energy efficiency target, a
renewable energy target, a gross feed-in tariff, a soil carbon program and a
legacy draw-down program to make it work and to make it commercially viable.[36]
3.45
Pacific Hydro explained that the CPRS as currently designed does not on
its own provide enough financial incentive to invest in renewable energy:
You would need something
north of $60 per tonne to drive the transformational change. According to the
current CPRS model that is out there, you actually do not start to see that
price coming into the economy until after about 2035. That is on the CPRS minus
five scenario, which is the very bottom line. Clearly, in that time, if that [the
CPRS] were the only thing that you did, you would see barely any renewable
energy built, and the modelling done on behalf of government demonstrates that
from MMA. You would need a much higher carbon price to drive any form of
changing the stationary energy sector.[37]
3.46
The committee questioned Professor Warwick McKibbin about how
environmentally effective the CPRS would be. Professor McKibbin agreed that the
CPRS is not as economically responsible or environmentally effective as it
could be.[38]
3.47
Professor McKibbin stated 'I think you can do better than the system as
it is designed.'[39]
3.48
The Australian Conservation Foundation (ACF) was unequivocal in its
criticism of the environmental outcome of the CPRS:
The Carbon Pollution
Reduction Scheme, as outlined in the white paper, does not constitute an environmentally
effective emissions trading scheme. We do not support the introduction of the scheme
as it currently stands, due to the number of major flaws. The principal concern
with the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme and the government’s policy in
regard to climate change is the weak target set to reduce our emissions by the
year 2020. ...Unfortunately, the way the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme has
been proposed not only sets that weak medium-term target but actually locks it
in. It prevents us from seeing how the international negotiations progress,
from seeing what happens internationally, from seeing what technological
solutions come to the forefront and from being able to improve over time.[40]
3.49
While Dr Brian Fisher, following questioning from the committee stated that
in his opinion 'the scheme would reduce global emissions by a small amount',[41]
many industry representatives also expressed the view that they believe the
CPRS will not lead to a decrease in global emissions, and would have a negative
impact on the Australian economy and employment. For example BlueScope Steel
stated:
...we believe the
current scheme is going to lead to outcomes that do not reduce global
greenhouse gas emissions and certainly it is not going to help the Australian
economy or the people of the Illawarra.[42]
3.50
The Cement Industry Federation argued that if the CPRS as outlined in
the Green Paper was implemented:
...we might get to a
situation where Australia reaches its cap. I have no doubt that we would do our
darnedest as a nation to reach our cap, but we would simply add to the climate
change problem. We could stand up nationally and say that we had reached our
cap, but globally we would simply add to climate change. I think that is
fraudulent.[43]
3.51
Mr Michael Ison, Acting Executive Director of the Australian Aluminium
Council (AAC) stated that the CPRS will lead to lost local production costing
the Australian economy, while ultimately more carbon will be emitted into the
global atmosphere.[44]
Senator BUSHBY—Carbon leakage will shift. We effectively will
lose production here to the cost of our economy and ultimately end up with more
tonnes of CO2 gas and equivalents going into the atmosphere globally.
Mr Ison—That is
correct, yes.[45]
Timing
of the implementation of the CPRS
3.52
An overwhelming number of witnesses who presented evidence to the
committee explained that the foremost priority regarding the CPRS is ensuring
the design of the scheme is appropriate, regardless of the government's
preferred implementation schedule. As discussed in chapter 2, a number of
witnesses highlighted the importance of not rushing the introduction of the
CPRS especially given the current global financial crisis.
3.53
The Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCI) of Western Australia stated:
...the implementation
date is less important than getting a system designed that will work
appropriately. Global action will also have a significant impact on it. So we
are not saying that 2010 is a necessary start date. We would prefer to see a
design put in place that could be fully supported by industry and would provide
a solid foundation for a working scheme.[46]
3.54
This was echoed by the Minerals Council of Australia (MCA):
Our view is that the
time line for the start of an emissions trading scheme will look after itself if
you get the framework right. Getting the framework right is the absolute,
fundamental priority.[47]
3.55
A number of concerns were raised regarding what some witnesses described
as an 'ambitious' timetable for the implementation of the scheme.
3.56
Mr Gordon Keen, GHG Issue Manager from ExxonMobil Australia, explained
how aggressive the proposed CPRS implementation timetable is and compared it
with that of the European Union ETS:
...the schedule for implementation of an Australian ETS
represents one of the most aggressive timetables ever contemplated. This
approach stands in contrast to the preparation and implementation of the only
broad based ETS that has been undertaken internationally, namely that in
Europe. The EU commenced its planning for an ETS in 2000 and continued planning
for five years before then implementing a trial system that was undertaken for
a further three years. This was a planning process and trial that experienced
significant difficulties across its implementation, even up to the closing
months of that trial in 2007.
The lessons from the
European experience may not even now be fully understood. Despite this example,
the Australian government is proposing to implement an ETS in under two years.
This aggressive schedule poses a potentially significant implementation risk.[48]
3.57
Chevron Australia further demonstrated this point, referring to the
example of the North American acid rain program:
We are looking at a period of less than six months between
having the legislation in place and having the scheme go live, and we feel that
is perhaps fraught with difficulties for government and industry in terms of
preparing for its implementation. It runs the risk that we will go into a
scheme and there will be difficulties, teething problems, in the first years
that will need to be rectified, and that will mean changes to legislation and
what have you. We do not think that is in anybody’s interest.
If you contrast that
with the North American acid rain program, after they passed legislation for
that program, it was three or four years before the scheme actually went live.
That provided three or four years where government could get its regulatory
framework established and running and where industries, in particular, could
prepare for its implementation. That scheme, in contrast to, say, the European emissions
trading scheme, has worked, and it has worked successfully from day 1. That is
an illustration of how important it is for the implementation of these things
to be well thought through and to allow plenty of time for them to be
implemented effectively.[49]
3.58
The CCI of Western Australia questioned the rush to implement the
scheme:
Given the relatively
small emissions reductions target selected by Government CCI questions the need
for urgent scheme commencement. A smaller target is more easily achieved and
therefore delaying commencement is unlikely to have a significant impact on the
nation’s ability to meet its 2020 target. CCI believes the benefits that would
accrue from having all industry sectors fully prepared for introduction of the
CPRS would offset any short delay in commencement.[50]
3.59
Some witnesses articulated concerns about delaying the implementation of
the scheme, due to the detrimental impact any delay would have on business
certainty, however the majority also highlighted the importance of getting the
design right. As Ms Belinda Robinson the Chief Executive of APPEA explained:
There has been a lot
of debate around whether we should delay or not. It is our view that we should
not. It is our view not so much that we should not, but that the scheme must be
designed properly to take into account the sorts of issues that we have raised.
If it is designed properly when it is introduced really becomes irrelevant; it
becomes delayed because more time is required to get the policy settings right,
and that is one thing. But it is true that the longer we delay, the more
uncertainty there is.[51]
3.60
A number of witnesses suggested that a trial, or 'soft start' approach
be considered by the government as an alternative, allowing the scheme to be
implemented without causing any harm to the economy and providing the
opportunity to adjust the scheme as necessary after observing it in practice.
3.61
ExxonMobil Australia outlined such a suggestion to the committee in
detail:
...our view is that serious
consideration should be given to a phased approach similar to that used in the
EU in which the early years of the proposed scheme are implemented fully but
considered to be a trial to ensure that mechanisms chosen are appropriate and
do not do undue harm to the Australian economy and the wellbeing of its
citizenry. In a trial, market stabilisation measures such as a cost containment
mechanism or price cap may also be tested to determine their effectiveness in reducing
the risks and uncertainties associated with the emissions trading scheme. A
trial period through to the end of the first Kyoto round in 2012 would appear
to be allowable and appropriate, particularly if trends continue to indicate
that Australia will meet its commitment at that time. Such phasing would also
allow industry time to make the substantial physical and systems changes that
will be required to operate within an ETS with a minimum of risk.[52]
3.62
Mr Gregory Evans the Director Economics for the Australian Chamber of
Commerce and Industry added further:
...the other reason
for that soft start is that even at this stage we do not know the extent to
which other countries will be joining the scheme and at what time that will
happen, so we are still firmly of the view that we need to align our policy
response with countries that we compete with.[53]
3.63
Mr Peter Colley National Research Director from the Construction,
Forestry, Mining and Energy Union argued that the scheme as currently proposed
constitutes a soft start:
The fact that a
substantial amount of compensation in the form of free permits has been allocated
to emissions-intensive trade-exposed industries clearly is a soft start. The
fact that compensation has been promised to strongly affected industries
indicates a soft start...the scheme will have enough of a soft start that it will
not impose high costs on energy.[54]
3.64
Dr Brian Fisher summed up the debate:
I think extreme care
needs to be taken and that is one of the reasons why I said previously that, if
this scheme is going to be introduced on the current government’s timetable,
then one option would be to cap the price at, say, $5 a tonne for a significant
amount of time. I think there are good arguments for doing something like that.
I think that we are going to have, at some point in time, an emissions trading
scheme in the in [sic] Australian economy...Inevitably, as I also said before,
this is the most complex piece of legislation and set of changes that have been
proposed for the Australian economy probably ever, and we are trying to do it
within a very short time frame. With the best will in the world, there will be
mistakes, but at the same time, if we are going to have one of these things in
the future, you should give industry the chance of having what you might call a
practice run. Also, the regulators need a practice run.[55]
An
ambitious and complex scheme
3.65
A number of witnesses and submitters expressed concern that in adopting
the CPRS, Australia would be committing itself to a more aggressive regime than
other countries.
3.66
Mr Keen of ExxonMobil Australia expressed concern that due to the
comprehensive nature of the scheme, the scale of its implementation could lead
to confusion or error which would result in problems, and a lack of confidence
in the scheme.[56]
...[The CPRS is] the
most complex and most advanced regulatory regime of its kind to be put forward
by government anywhere in the world. The Australian ETS would be the first
scheme to cover all greenhouse gases, include transport fuels, natural gas and fugitive
emissions, and move to a hard start-up with significant auctioning of permits
in 2010.[57]
3.67
Mr Michael Hitchens, Chief Executive Officer of AIGN, commented, 'at the
moment the White Paper is committing Australia to something that is far more
expensive than those comparable advanced countries.'[58]
3.68
Mr Peter Coates, Chairman of the MCA, echoed these concerns, stating:
The proposed trading
scheme is out of step with schemes being developed around the world. It goes
further and faster than any comparable scheme either in existence or being contemplated.
It is the world’s most aggressive emissions trading scheme...No other emissions
trading scheme has ever embraced full auctioning of permits, let alone from the
start of the scheme...All of the emissions trading schemes in operation or
being developed around the world adopt a phased approach to auctioning...[59]
3.69
Dr Fisher added that the ambitious nature of the CPRS would have
implications regarding the timing of the scheme's implementation:
We are proposing a scheme
that is, as I understand it, the most ambitious scheme of this type contemplated
anywhere. The government is a leader in terms of its ambition with respect to
coverage and complexity with the scheme that is being introduced here. This has
all sorts of implications in terms of uncertainty about investment in Australia
and it is not clear to me at all that we can get the design of the current
scheme right in the short period of time that has been allocated.[60]
3.70
AIGN noted concerns that the emissions reduction targets set in the
White Paper are too high:
AIGN endorses the
White Paper test for setting Australia’s emission budget at a level that is
commensurate with “advanced economies taking on reductions comparable to
Australia”. Unfortunately, both the -5% and the -15% targets the Government
intends committing Australia to, representing a 25% to 35% reduction in
emissions relative to expected trends and a 34% to 41% reduction from 1990 per
capita emission levels, are stronger than other wealthier countries including
the EU, the USA and the UK. Further, Treasury modelling estimates that these
targets mean that Australians could incur wealth losses 3 to 4 times higher
than the losses that Europeans and Americans bear by 2020. AIGN advocates that Australian’s
shoulder a fair share of the global burden, no more and no less.[61]
3.71
The committee also heard evidence stating that the CPRS does not go far
enough to encourage an effective global agreement, with the ACF calling for a
commitment to cut emissions by between 25 and 40 per cent by 2020:
...it is in
Australia’s national interests to achieve an effective international agreement.
In order to bring about circumstances where an effective international
agreement might come in, we would like to see our government advocating for
targets that would be part of that effective agreement.[62]
3.72
The committee has not been provided with any evidence of a discernable
advantage to Australia flowing from 'leading the world' in introducing the most
complex and aggressive emissions trading scheme. To the contrary, the
anticipated negative impact on Australia's economy and jobs of such a scheme,
without achieving a clear environmental benefit, would more than likely provide
a disincentive for other nations.
Recognition of individual action
to reduce emissions
3.73
The committee also heard concerns about the failure of the CPRS as
currently designed to properly recognise and provide incentives for individuals
and households to reduce emissions:
...the system as it is
currently proposed means that if householders save energy the benefit is going
to go to the large emitters...this really needs to be addressed.[63]
3.74
This point was also made by Mr Tony Westmore of the Australian Council
of Social Service:
...it seems to be true
that the CPRS may act perversely to disincentivise people taking action to
reduce emissions...simply because if you take action to reduce emissions you
increase the number of permits that are available to other people—you might
reduce the price of permits and you might actually encourage pollution.[64]
3.75
The ACF raised concerns about:
...the lack of the
ability of the Australian public to contribute to reducing emissions beyond the
national target that is set. For example, if a householder decided to install
solar panels on their roof after the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme came in,
that would not deliver one kilogram of greenhouse gas reduction beyond the
national target that has been set. It would only serve to reduce the cost of
the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme. We think that is a serious flaw that needs
to be addressed and can be addressed by a better designed system.[65]
3.76
Dr Judy Messer, President of the Futureworld National Centre for
Appropriate Technology, noted that one way of effectively recognising these
efforts would be to:
...give these credits
to not-for-profit environmental organisations that can demonstrate that they
are working to encourage energy efficiency and energy conservation or to promote
appropriate technologies.[66]
3.77
The Australian Capital Territory (ACT) government also noted concerns
that the CPRS would limit the ability of states and territories to contribute
to further emissions reductions. The ACT Minister for Energy, the Hon. Mr Simon
Corbell MLA noted:
...we are concerned
that actions by states and territories to go beyond the targeted CPRS
reductions may not achieve real emission reductions, as these actions may not
correspond to fewer emission permits. Further investigation by the Commonwealth
is required to identify whether efforts by states and territories to go beyond
the targeted CPRS reductions can meaningfully contribute to reducing
emissions...It is a significant concern of mine that state and territory
jurisdictions may not be able to implement more stringent climate change
policies that contribute to achieving real reductions in emissions...If this is
the case, the coverage of the CPRS severely limits the scope for the ACT to
take effective action on climate change.[67]
Design
issues
3.78
The committee also heard a broad range of concerns regarding the design
of the scheme.
3.79
Professor McKibbin noted a series of problems with the CPRS, summarised
as follows:
-
horizons in the scheme are too short;
-
the initial reduction commitment does not go far enough, and
there is no flexibility to make deeper cuts if this is desired;
-
as the price of carbon is determined by the market, short term
price volatility could be quite high; and
-
the scheme imposes a significant cost burden on industries which
are already under pressure, reducing their capacity to innovate, and their
ability to obtain finance.[68]
3.80
The Queensland Resources Council told the committee that they do not
believe the design of the CPRS is flexible enough to deal with cycles in the
economy:
Mr Roche—...we believe the design of an emissions trading
scheme needs to be able to deal with the cycles of the economy. We are currently
in a very difficult part of that cycle. There will be further such down-cycles
in coming years, as it ever has been thus. So we are saying that an emissions
trading scheme needs to be able to be calibrated to deal with the ups and downs
of the economy rather than saying that there is something special about the
current down-cycle such that we have to deal with the design of the scheme. We
believe the design of the scheme needs to be able to cope with the ups and downs
of the economy.
CHAIR—Do you think that the current design does that?
Mr Roche—Not to our
satisfaction.[69]
3.81
Chevron Australia noted that an organisation's ability to reduce
emissions is not determined by the pricing of carbon:
...having to outlay
that money to buy emissions permits does not actually change your motivation to
reduce emissions. This is a fundamental problem with the CPRS. There seems to
be a view behind the CPRS that firms have to physically be out of pocket to
have any incentive to reduce emissions, and that is not the case. Our ability
to reduce emissions is set by the price in the market and our marginal costs of
abatement, not by whether we have permits allocated to us or have to purchase
them—that is, a cost impost on an industry and on a project does not actually
change the ability to reduce emissions anywhere.[70]
3.82
The ACF took the view that the compensation provided for under the CPRS
is 'excessive'.[71]
Mr Daniel Price, Managing Director of Frontier Economics explained that the
compensation provided for creates distortions and inefficiencies when modelled.[72]
3.83
Mr David Pearce, Executive Director of the Centre for International
Economics described these inefficiencies to the committee:
...the idea of
attempting to increase the carbon price in the economy and then shielding the
people who you are wanting to influence with that price increase is
inefficient. That is one layer of inefficiency. The other layer of inefficiency
is that large organisations that will have large permit requirements in order
to operate, to the extent that they are purchasing auction permits, will
essentially be transferring a lot of income to the Treasury. It goes off their
balance sheet, if you like, and it makes it very hard for those organisations
to raise funds and do the kinds of investments they may need to do in order to
increase their energy efficiency.[73]
3.84
Mr Price summarised the concerns of a number of witnesses stating:
I think that this scheme will be a catastrophe. I do think
that it will not work, it is high cost and it will give emissions trading a bad
rap...[74]
International
trading of permits
3.85
Various witnesses noted a series of possible issues associated with the
ability to trade carbon permits internationally. In particular the committee
heard concerns that the ability to import permits from overseas could result in
no reductions in Australia's domestic emissions,[75]
thus raising concerns about the environmental effectiveness of the scheme.
3.86
The summary of the Department of the Treasury's modelling report Australia's
Low Pollution Future: The Economics of Climate Change Mitigation – Summary,
stated:
International trade
can reduce the cost of achieving emission reduction targets because it allows mitigation
to occur wherever it is cheapest. Trade does not compromise the environmental
objective, because Australia’s ‘excess’ emissions are offset by lower emissions
in economies that export permits.[76]
3.87
Dr Fisher explained that there is a risk that as a result of
international permit trading, the Australian carbon price will be driven by the
international carbon price:
...under the current
proposal, the Australian carbon price will basically be dominated by what the
international carbon price is. According to the Treasury modelling, effectively
we are doing a large share of our abatement by import of permits. The proposal
is that our scheme be linked to international carbon prices. Because Australia
is a small, open economy, the international carbon price will drive the
Australian carbon price—there can be no doubt about that...[77]
3.88
Mr Stephen Gale of the Futureworld National Centre for Appropriate
Technology, noted that international trade in permits could result in
Australian efficiencies being driven offshore:
...the purchase of
permits from overseas should be restricted because we should be designing the
scheme to drive for maximum efficiency in Australian industry. If we do not
request that Australian industry be as efficient as possible there is a risk
that we will lose global competitiveness by transferring those efficiency
improvements to developing nations.[78]
3.89
The committee considers that what matters is achieving a reduction in
global greenhouse gas emissions and that as such the level of domestic
emissions is not and should not be the primary consideration. In that context,
the international trading of permits can be an important and appropriate part
of a proper global framework to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Limitations
of the Kyoto Protocol
3.90
Throughout the inquiry the committee heard evidence on issues regarding
the Kyoto Protocol, which impact on how a domestic Australian ETS would operate.
3.91
Ms Robinson, of the APPEA, explained to the committee that while LNG
produced in Australia increases domestic emissions, its export and substitution
for coal in the generation of power in other countries leads to a global
reduction in emissions. However, '...the Kyoto accounting rules do not enable the
full benefits of those global savings to accrue back to Australia.'[79]
3.92
Mr Michael Angwin, the Executive Director of the Australian Uranium
Association, explained to the committee that the exclusion of nuclear power
under the Kyoto Clean Development Mechanism is an 'unnecessary limitation':
There is a Clean
Development Mechanism under the Kyoto protocol, and its purpose is to help
mitigate greenhouse gas emissions where it is cheapest to do so. It supports,
in effect, the investment by companies from developed countries in developing
countries to build mechanisms for mitigating greenhouse gases where it is
cheapest to do so. Currently, the Clean Development Mechanism does not permit
nuclear power to be one of those mechanisms...[80]
3.93
Mr Michael Keogh, Executive Director of the Australian Farm Institute,
further explained this limitation on mitigation measures to the committee:
Under the current
accounting methodologies, which we are bound to under the Kyoto protocol, the
mitigation strategies are limited to reforestation—farm forestry. There is no
opportunity, for example, to look at sequestration in soils or those sorts of
things...It [the Kyoto Protocol] has locked us into a mode of accounting which
dramatically limits the potential mitigation measures...[81]
3.94
When the Leader of the Opposition, the Hon. Malcolm Turnbull MP announced
the Coalition's Green Carbon Initiative in January 2009, including a proposal
to 'pursue sequestration of large quantities of carbon via biochar (the
conversion of biomass into charcoal, which can be fixed in soil),'[82]
the Minister for Climate Change and Water, Senator the Hon. Penny Wong, responded
on behalf of the government with the following statement:
Soil carbon
(including biochar) does not fit within the scope of the current Kyoto Protocol
accounts, so is not included at this time in the Carbon Pollution Reduction
Scheme.[83]
3.95
The committee considers that what matters is effective and cost
effective action to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions. The accounting
rules under the Kyoto Protocol are a secondary consideration. As such the committee
is of the view that the design of any Australian initiative to contribute to
global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions should recognise and
encourage all effective and efficient ways to reduce global greenhouse gas
emissions irrespective of whether or not they are recognised under the Kyoto Protocol
accounting rules.
Auctioning of permits
3.96
The committee heard concerns about the extent of auctioning of permits as
proposed under the CPRS. The MCA explained:
The scheme proposes
full auctioning, other than 20 per cent of free permits for a small proportion
of Australia’s trade-exposed sector. The result is that Australian businesses
will pay the highest carbon costs in the world by a very wide margin. No other
emissions trading scheme has ever embraced full auctioning of permits, let
alone from the start of the scheme. For example, for the first eight years of
the EU scheme, more than 98 per cent of permits will be issued free. Only after
2013 will some European firms have to buy some of their permits.[84]
3.97
The MCA argued that a phased approach to the auctioning of permits would
be more appropriate, and would yield better results for the Australian economy:
Every single country
that is looking at a cap and trade system is doing so on a phased approach to
full auctioning...We have modelled our proposal, and it comes out that every
single factor that you would expect to be critical, such as GDP, investment,
employment, real after-taxes wages and exports, will be higher under a phased
approach to auctioning.[85]
3.98
While ExxonMobil Australia stated:
The Australian ETS
would be the first scheme to cover all greenhouse gases, include transport
fuels, natural gas and fugitive emissions, and move to a hard start-up with
significant auctioning of permits in 2010.[86]
3.99
ExxonMobil Australia also stated that they support 100 per cent
auctioning of permits, subject to transitional measures, on the basis that it
is a simple and equitable approach.[87]
3.100 The Energy Supply Association of Australia argued that they are
'supportive of the White Paper's long term objective of moving towards
100 per cent auctioning of permits after sufficient administrative
allocations have been made.'[88]
3.101 BP Australia also stated that it supports full auctioning of permits
with the exception of those allocated for EITE assistance.[89]
Interaction
of the CPRS with other regulation
3.102 The committee received evidence from the electricity generation sector raising
concerns about the regulation of retail electricity prices. The National
Generators Forum (NGF) informed the committee that, with the exception of
Victoria, retail electricity prices are regulated at a state level. Mr Carlo
Botto, a Director of the NGF noted that the CPRS will impact on the cost of
energy, however:
Whether ultimately that cost is passed on to the consumer is
a function of whether the retail price is allowed to reflect that increased
cost...the imposition of the CPRS is a federal policy position but, right now, in
most of the states of Australia the maximum price paid by the consumer is
managed by the states. So we have to make sure that there is an ability to pass
on the cost reflected in the price that is allowed to be charged.
...
The wholesale price of electricity under the current proposed
scheme will roughly double by 2020 and will probably triple by about 2025.
...
...the coal-fired
sector, in particular, which is currently a very low-cost producer, does not
usually set the commodity price for electricity. But that is the sector that
will bear the burden of the costs of carbon. As a consequence, that sector will
have a margin squeeze...[90]
3.103 The Energy Supply Association of Australia (ESAA) echoed these concerns:
The regulation of
retail electricity prices poses significant threat to the efficient operation
of CPRS and the viability of retailers. For the scheme to operate efficiently
and provide least cost emission reductions, consumers must be exposed to the
cost implications of greenhouse gas emissions. Retail price regulation would
prevent retailers from passing on higher wholesale energy costs in a timely
manner. Retailers could experience significant losses and be unable to contract
forward with the remaining generators, forcing their eventual exit. Systemic
failure or financial distress among major retailers would increase volatility
and risks in the energy market and undermine reliability and security of
supply.[91]
3.104 Further, in its submission to the committee, the ESAA stated:
...retail price
regulation should be removed. However, where Governments are unwilling to
commit to this reform, at the very least there should be a consistent, national
framework for the regulation of retail prices that enables cost reflective pricing
and the full pass-through of emission costs to consumers. The Australian Energy
Market Commission should determine the appropriate methodology for ensuring
cost-reflectivity and it should be applied by the Australian Energy Regulator.[92]
3.105 The committee was informed that unless the 'plethora' of federal and
state regulations are removed, the CPRS will not be an efficient ETS.[93]
In its submission, ExxonMobil Australia noted that in light of the CPRS, a
series of state and federal policies require review:
ExxonMobil believes
there is an array of energy and fiscal policies at the state and federal level
that would undermine the efficacy of any carbon price signal. In particular we
would identify several areas that require specific review – mandated energy
efficiency programs, mandated technological requirements to mitigate emissions,
mandated quotas for different energy sources that compete in the energy supply
market and fiscal disparities (taxes and/or subsidies) which create distortions
between competing energy sources.[94]
3.106 Chevron Australia supported the rationalisation of existing policies
which regulate greenhouse gases, stating:
The continuation of
many of these policies will ultimately undermine the economic and environmental
effectiveness of the CPRS and will do little to further emissions reductions
when we have the CPRS in place.[95]
3.107 Conversely, the committee also heard evidence calling for additional
regulation to the CPRS. The National Institute of Economic and Industry
Research told the committee that a carbon price as imposed via the CPRS will
not drive the required efficiency adjustments and emissions reductions, and
consequently, 'you need mandating, regulation and PPP[96]
type arrangements to force the energy efficiencies into the system.'[97]
3.108 On a practical level, the ESAA noted that the regulatory framework will
need to accommodate the needs of a low emission energy supply system which
would incorporate varied generation sources and different usage patterns.[98]
3.109 The Department of Climate Change advised the committee that the
Commonwealth Government hoped that various state based policies would be wound
up with the introduction of the CPRS.[99]
3.110 Envirogen, an organisation which uses waste coal gas to generate power,
thereby providing a form of abatement, informed the committee their industry
has not been recognised under the White Paper, and that if state based
renewable energy policies are removed, their industry will become unviable.
Envirogen argued that power generation from waste coal gas should be recognised
as a renewable energy source under the Renewable Energy Target as it has been
in Germany.[100]
3.111 The committee raised the case of Envirogen with the Department of
Climate Change. The department explained that the government has identified
Envirogen as an entity which will be affected by transitional issues in the
move from state based schemes to the CPRS, and that the government 'was
particularly interested in assisting those industries, and those discussions
are ongoing.'[101]
Interaction
of the CPRS with the Renewable Energy Target
3.112 The committee received evidence that the Renewable Energy Target (RET)
is inconsistent with the government's stated aim of reducing carbon pollution
'efficiently'.[102]
The evidence indicated that the RET will not lead to a least cost path to
emissions reductions and will lead to overregulation which will result in
inefficiencies. The committee also received evidence that the CPRS does not do
enough to encourage the adoption of renewable energy technologies and therefore
the RET is necessary to assist the transition to renewable energy.
3.113 The Queensland Resources Council argued that the RET:
...adds to the cost.
It is not consistent with a least cost path to emissions reductions. What we
support is the price discovery through the cap and trade system. What the
renewable target does is overlay a further set of price signals and some quite
difficult to achieve outcomes in relation to renewable generation between now
and 2020.[103]
3.114 Chevron Australia argued:
In terms of the principles, mandatory renewable targets are
going to mandate primarily wind powered generation in this country. What that
will potentially do is displace other lower cost forms of abatement. You could
use an example that one of the lowest cost ways we can reduce our emissions is to
increase the proportion of gas-fired power generation in the country compared
to coal-fired generation. There has been quite a lot of modelling done, which
has been provided to government, that indicates you could deliver emissions
abatement at probably half the cost through promoting gas-fired power
generation rather than by promoting wind turbine generation in the marketplace.
Effectively, what renewable energy targets do is that they result in higher
electricity prices than would otherwise have been the case if lower cost
abatement had been taken up through a market based mechanism.
...
We would argue that
we want to get away from a framework where governments are prescribing what
people should be doing and...Leave it for the market to determine what is the
lowest cost way to reduce emissions...[104]
3.115 This argument was supported by evidence presented to the committee by
the Australian Pipeline Industry Association:
The renewable energy
target is a scheme that will decrease the use of natural gas. It could act against
the government’s intention to reduce carbon emissions because I understand that
the renewable energy technology will not be ready quickly. The extra cost
involved in introducing renewable energy could see power generators retaining
coal—moving to coal or keeping coalfired power—because of the extra costs
involved in enforced renewable energy. That does not fix the problem of
reducing emissions, because it delays the move to natural gas. However, once renewable
energy is introduced most of the renewable energy systems will need natural gas
as a backup fuel because of the intermittent nature of renewable energy.[105]
3.116 A similar argument was put to the committee by APPEA who explained to
the committee that modelling they commissioned to assess the impact of the RET:
...demonstrates that
meeting that target will come at the cost of gas...to the tune of around 10,000
gigawatt hours...By artificially carving out what would otherwise have been the
emissions trading market to one of the highest cost forms of energy comes at
the cost of natural gas and squeezes natural gas.[106]
3.117 The committee notes that if this is the case, Australia's domestic
policy, in the form of the RET, will lead to increased global emissions, in
direct contradiction to the government's stated environmental objective.
3.118 AIGN further noted that:
Every independent
review undertaken, including by Professor Garnaut, the Productivity Commission
and the Treasury, has recommended that the current MRET scheme should not be
expanded and should be phased out.[107]
3.119 The CFMEU argued that without the RET, the CPRS 'will just cause a dash
for gas.'[108]
3.120 The Clean Energy Council argued that the RET is not a low cost approach,
but:
...critics of pursuing
a low-cost response assume that we know the answer to the challenge of
transitioning energy supply under the threat of climate change, and we do not.
That is why we are proposing a RET. The second is that we do not know what the
technology mix looks like, so it is policy designed to find out what we can do.
...taking a lowest cost approach from the outset is unlikely to discover the full
potential of those opportunities.[109]
3.121 Pacific Hydro noted that the RET will reduce the efficiency of the CPRS
in the short term, but will guarantee the establishment of a renewable energy
industry in Australia.[110]
Unfortunately, we cannot see that the CPRS as it is currently
designed would deliver an economic signal that would start to transform the
stationary energy sector, whether that be in renewable energy, clean coal,
carbon capture and storage or a whole range of other things...Therefore, the complementary
measures that have been talked about briefly today are absolutely crucial, we believe,
to that transformation of the stationary energy sector.
...
Effectively, we see
the renewable energy target as an insurance policy for the short term. By short
term we mean the next 10 to 15 years, while we wait for the CPRS to get into
its stride and to deliver that broad price across the economy that will drive
emissions down.[111]
3.122 Mackay Sugar described the process the organisation uses to convert
waste from sugar production into a renewable fuel to generate the energy
required to run its Racecourse Mill. The organisation is planning to use this
technology to build a large co-generation plant. Mackay Sugar explained to the
committee that:
Legislation of the
20 per cent renewable energy target is an essential and urgent prerequisite for
the co-generation project to proceed. However, the CPRS, the Carbon Pollution
Reduction Scheme, will indirectly assist the projects due to the likely
increase in wholesale electricity prices. Similarly, increases in petrol prices
will assist the viability of our ethanol project into the future.[112]
Recognition
of early mitigation actions taken by emitters
3.123 The committee questioned witnesses about the impact of the CPRS on
industries which have already taken action to mitigate emissions.
3.124 Mr Andrew Canion of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Western
Australia noted that early action should be recognised:
It is important to
recognise early action and provide some credit for that. You have to have a
starting point. It is a difficult policy position, but we believe that
industries that have undertaken early action should be recognised and
potentially rewarded in some way through policy development.[113]
3.125 The Australian Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering also
argued that environmentally efficient practices should be rewarded, 'we need to
reward the people who have spent the money already and are operating at world's
best practice. They should be rewarded by being given free permits.'[114]
3.126 Mrs Robyn Bain, Chief Executive Officer of the Cement Industry
Federation stated 'The green paper does not refer to previous gains that any
industry has made.'[115]
3.127 Mrs Bain explained her views regarding the impact of the CPRS given the
cement industry has previously made considerable reductions in emissions:
Mrs Bain—It depends on whether or not the department or the
government chooses the path of industry averaging. If you take an average
across the industry the plants that are more energy efficient, which are
predominantly the big ones, for example, Gladstone, Berrima, Railton, Birkenhead
and Waurn Ponds, would be a bit better off than the smaller plants because they
are more energy efficient. If you said, ‘The average is 0.8’, some of the
bigger plants might come in at 0.74 or 0.76, so they would be slightly better
off. But each company owns a big plant and a little plant, or a couple of big
plants and a couple of little plants.
Senator BUSHBY—If that reduces over time and you have to buy
more carbon imports how will that play out, given that you have already
exercised a lot of the efficiency measures and you do not have a lot more room
in which to move?
Mrs Bain—That really
is the point. We do not have a lot more room in which to move. The technological
changes that are required to get large CO2 savings have already been made. That
low-hanging fruit has been picked.[116]However
Professor Anthony Owen, of the Curtin University of Technology, explained that
to offer credits or exemptions based on past action increases compliance costs
and would make the scheme too bureaucratically burdensome. He further noted
that industries who have taken mitigation measures in the past benefited from
their actions in various ways.[117]
3.128 The AAC noted previous actions taken to reduce the industry's carbon
footprint have benefited the industry both financially and in terms of
efficiency. However, as the industry in Australia is generally already operating
at world's best practice, it is difficult to find further mitigation and
efficiency opportunities, and that the technology to achieve further mitigation
is not yet commercially viable, therefore impacting on the competitiveness of
the Australian industry compared to nations that do not have carbon costs.[118]
3.129 The Department of Climate Change provided the following explanation when
questioned by the committee:
The proposed model for emissions-intensive trade-exposed
assistance is to provide assistance on an industry average basis. To an extent
an industry is below that average because of it [sic] past action or for other
reasons, it will receive the same assistance as others in that industry.
...
If they are not trade exposed, they will face a lower
obligation than other entities within their own industries when the scheme
commences. So they will be entering the scheme commencement with a lower
requirement to purchase emissions and will benefit in that way.
...
The liability is
about how many permits you have to surrender. If you have to surrender less,
your carbon costs are less than other firms in your industry. Even if those
other firms have potential to come down to your level, while they are coming
down they are surrendering more permits. The firms that are well placed will be
well placed to [sic] relative to their competitors.[119]
Committee comment
3.130 The committee notes the lack of detail in the draft legislation regarding
the support for EITE industries. The committee also notes the lack of
accommodation of the extensive concerns raised with respect to the White Paper,
particularly by trade exposed industries.
3.131 The committee considers that the government's rushed approach to the
design, introduction and proposed implementation time table for the proposed
CPRS is irresponsible and not in the public interest.
3.132 The committee considers that the design and level of complexity of any
Australian emissions trading scheme should be consistent with what is happening
in other relevant parts of the world.
3.133 The committee considers that the government should prioritise getting
the design of any proposed emissions trading scheme right ahead of meeting any
arbitrary and self-imposed deadlines.
3.134 The committee considers that proceeding with a badly designed scheme which
puts pressure on the economy and jobs without achieving any discernable
reduction in global greenhouse gas emissions will make the achievement of a
'global solution' less likely. The impact on the Australian economy and jobs of
the current badly designed and flawed CPRS will discourage other jurisdictions
from pursuing greenhouse gas reduction through emissions trading schemes in the
future.
3.135 The committee notes the restrictions on mitigation measures as imposed
by the Kyoto Protocol and advocates that Australia work to expand the Kyoto
Protocol to include sequestration through soil carbon and the benefits of LNG
and nuclear power in respect to global emissions.
3.136 The committee notes the concerns expressed regarding the potential inability
of power generators to pass on the carbon price signal to consumers due to the
regulation of retail electricity prices.
3.137 The committee notes that there is no renewable energy that can deliver
reliable large scale base load power, that more research and assistance is
needed for those renewable energies demonstrating most promise. The committee
notes that there needs to be caution with respect to the RET so that we do not
to make it harder to reduce emissions in the most cost effective way by
imposing arbitrary targets.
3.138 The committee considers that the CPRS as currently designed does not
achieve a sufficient environmental benefit and will not encourage investment in
renewable technologies.
3.139 The committee agrees that the CPRS embodies a more ambitious and complex
scheme than is in place or is being considered anywhere else in the world. The
level of complexity is not something to be proud of. To the contrary.
3.140 The committee is of the view that the government's priority should be to
design an appropriate scheme, not to get a scheme in place by an arbitrary
deadline.
3.141 The committee considers the government needs to take further time to
design an appropriate scheme for Australia, considering all possible
alternative approaches.
3.142 The committee considers the further changes to the proposed CPRS
announced by the Prime Minister on 4 May 2009 to be inevitable but
very small steps in the right direction. The committee does not consider that
the announced changes adequately address the fundamental flaws of the scheme as
identified during this inquiry.
3.143 Specifically, the committee remains concerned that even after the
changes announced by the Prime Minister:
-
The proposed CPRS will be ineffective in reducing global greenhouse gas
emissions;
-
The government continues to 'fly blind' when it comes to the short and
medium term impact of the proposed CPRS on the economy, jobs and regional
Australia;
-
Australia's trade exposed industries will continue to be disadvantaged
under the proposed CPRS compared to their competitors (unlike in the much cited
European Union emissions trading scheme);
-
Many other flaws explored in some more detail in the remainder of this
report have not been addressed.
Recommendation 5
3.144 The committee recommends that the CPRS as currently designed not be
proceeded with.
Recommendation 6
3.145 The committee recommends that the Commonwealth Government commit to
design a more appropriate scheme for Australia, which will be more effective in
helping to reduce emissions globally and which will be more economically
responsible.
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