Dissenting Report by Coalition Members and Senators
1. Lack of Transparency on NBN Build Costs
- The capital cost of
the NBN fibre roll out per premise is the single most important determinant of
the implications of the Government’s policy for end user broadband and
telephony prices over time.
- In the October Joint
Committee on the NBN hearing and again in February estimates, NBN Co presented
an indicative breakdown of the cost per premise passed of the fibre local
network and distribution network. Indicative costs have been provided for the
rollout so far, and for what NBN Co forecasts costs per premise will be in
2013.
- The relevant slide is
included below:
![graph showing LNDN Capex Per Premise Passed](https://aphref.aph.gov.au/House/committee/jcnbn/report4/dissent_files/image001.jpg)
- While these slides
provide at least some information, it is important to note the data that
matters – on premises which have been completed – is not transparent. On the
contrary it is deliberately imprecise. The graphs suggest per premise costs
are coming down. But they do not provide dollar figures for what actual costs
have been incurred so far during each phase of the rollout, nor how these
compare to the originally budgeted figures.
- The most important
capex cost information (the estimate for the ‘volume rollout’ which will
account for most fibre deployed) is just a prospective estimate – there is no
real world data provided.
- The graph does allow
a rough comparison of capex costs in each construction phase so far as a
multiple of the per premise FTTP cost estimated n the NBN Co Corporate Plan:
- Tasmania
Pre Release – 4.125x
- Tasmania
Stage 2 – 3.25x
- Mainland
First Release – 2.5x
- Volume
Rollout (FY2012-13 Forecast) – 1.25x
- In each case the
figure is substantially higher than the current NBN Co budget.
- Additionally, the NBN
graph provided to Parliament does not in fact provide a comprehensive estimate
of per premise costs for NBN Co’s FTTP. Rather it is an estimate of costs
across a portion of the fibre network – the local network and distribution
network; in layman’s terms, what it’s costing to get fibre from the exchange to
the street corner.
- The figures thus
exclude the capex associated with running fibre through the lead-in conduit (or
overhead from a pole) or equipment and installation costs associated with
terminating the network at the end-user premises.
- The NBN has also
responded to a question on notice regarding the cost per premise of the NBN’s
fibre network by refusing to detail costs. In its response, NBN Co stated:
- “NBN Co’s Chief Financial Officer, Mr Robin Payne, provided
information relating to cost per premises and cost trends at the JCNBN hearing
on 30 October 2012 (Hansard pp.6-7). Also, Mr Quigley has previously provided
information about why cost-per-premises figures can be commercially sensitive,
particularly when construction procurement processes are underway. Please see
October 2011 JCNBN Hearing Hansard pp. 21-22.”[1]
- The fully allocated
capital cost of FTTP per premise is both crucial to the economics of the
network and highly variable. Evidence from other markets suggests the average
figure over a substantial deployment can be as little as <$500 in the case
of fibre rolled out by incumbents in densely populated cities with well
maintained and expansively designed underground ducts to >$5000 in the case
of FTTP serving very low density areas or in challenging terrain.
- The 2012-2015 NBN
Corporate Plan appears to be predicated on an average capex spend (including
full allocation of all capex shared across the NBN’s three networks) of
approximately $2700 per premise within the fibre footprint.
- The Coalition
acknowledges some areas of investment will appear high if reported on a current
per premise basis, because assets such as the fibre transit network are being
built up front but will eventually be amortized over larger numbers of premises
than at present. Any resulting distortions can be corrected by explicitly
breaking capex into shared and per premise components, and making transparent,
reasonable assumptions about amortization of the former.
- NBN Co has chosen not
to release any of this information either to Parliament or taxpayers.
Therefore at present there is no visibility into whether NBN Co’s capex
estimates are plausible or not.
- The bottom line is
that Australia’s largest infrastructure project in history is a black box. The
Gillard Government and NBN Co are simply refusing to disclose the actual
evidence on deployment costs that must surely exist in robust form after
running fibre past 82,000 premises. Taxpayers funding the project have every
reason to question why they would not be provided with this data.
- The right hand bar of
this slide is labelled “FY2013 256,000 premises’ and shows two numbers, $1500
and $1200. When read in conjunction with the other (unlabelled) bars showing
much higher capex per premise at earlier stages of the rollout, the slide is evidently
intended to convey the impression that capex per premises passed will be in the
range $1200-1500 by the end of FY2013.
- During the hearing
officials of NBN sought to reinforce the impression that the capex per premises
passed would be reduced to this level by quoting the experience of Chorus in
New Zealand.
Mr Quigley: What is very important for the committee
is the number on the right. Obviously, what is important is that it has come
down substantially. There were low numbers to start with. With the number on
the right we are saying that with our corporate plan—as you can see in the
yellow there—given our best estimate now and given all the data we have, that
we are confident that we are going to come in for FY2013 between $1,200 and
$1,500 for this component of the cost per premise passed, which is consistent
with the data you would have seen in New Zealand.
Mr Payne: I think that Chorus from New Zealand have fairly recently published data showing that cost per premise is falling from
around $3,300 last year to $2,700, $2,900 this year. They are targeting, I
think, around $1,200 to $1,500 in the long run.[2]
- In September 2012
Chorus published a document showing it expects connection costs per premises to
fall[3]. It
shows a current cost per premises of $3,300 – and it not dropping to a rate of
$1200-1500 until 2020.
![flowchart showing connection costs](https://aphref.aph.gov.au/House/committee/jcnbn/report4/dissent_files/image002.gif)
- Coalition members
consider that it is misleading of Mr Quigley to suggest that the experience of
Chorus in New Zealand supports NBN Co’s forecast of reaching a cost per
premises passed of $1200 to $1500 by the end of FY2013. On the contrary, the
Chorus experience suggests that it will take many years, and a rollout volume
substantially higher than NBN Co has achieved, before it is able to reduce the
cost per premises to this level.
- It is also worth
bearing in mind that labour costs in New Zealand are materially lower than they
are in Australia.
Recommendations
- NBN Co to immediately
publish full capital expenditure figures per premise (including all direct
costs of the relevant network, and an explicit and transparent allocation of
transit and other shared or indirect capital costs between currently passed and
future premises) for:
- The
cohort of premises passed with fibre in brownfield areas.
- The
cohort of premises passed with fibre in greenfield areas.
- The
cohort of premises covered by the fixed wireless network.
- NBN Co should also
provide a comparison against the assumed costs contained in the 2012-15
Corporate Plan and should publish trends in cost over time so that it is able
to assess the extent to which the NBN Co’s ‘learning curves’ have led to gains.
2. Telcos Raise Concerns Over Proposed NBN Price Hikes
- Modelling conducted
by Optus and submitted to the ACCC suggest that under the current Special
Access Undertaking proposed by the NBN Co to the ACCC, it is likely that there
will be significant fixed line price increases after a long period of falling
prices.
- Assuming fixed
broadband usage (in terms of data volumes) increases by around 28 per cent per
year which is its current trend, Optus found the SAU and NBN Co’s proposed
pricing will drive a 32.3% increase in real prices for end users over the next
decade[4].
![graph showing Internet price indices](https://aphref.aph.gov.au/House/committee/jcnbn/report4/dissent_files/image003.gif)
- Telstra
wrote to the ACCC stating that if usage grew 1 per cent per year, prices would
rise 3 per cent, but “using the more realistic assumption that usage increases
by 30 per cent per annum, the CAGR for the basket of AVC and CVC services
purchased by end-users is 19 per cent”[5]. The monthly price of wholesale broadband (across a
basket of plans) would rise from $28 in 2013 to $145 in 2028.
- Additionally, it is
concerning to Coalition members that the NBN Co has explicitly acknowledged
that its current prices reflect neither its costs, nor the charges needed to
recover its reasonable costs and make the return on invested capital that has
been claimed by the Government.
- On
January 14, 2013, the NBN Co’s General Manager Engagement and Group
Coordination Richard Home stated in a letter lodged with the ACCC: “The initial prices (as set out in the SAU) were developed in
consultation with access seekers so as to enable a smooth transition for end
users from legacy networks to the NBN. As such the initial prices are not
the result of modeling of NBN Co’s costs and demand and NBN Co has been very
clear on this in its consultation with access seekers.”[6]
- The
implication of this admission for consumers is that the Government’s frequent
assertions that prices for ADSL2+ equivalent services over the NBN will remain
at current levels have no basis in economic reality.
Recommendations
- That the Government
submit the NBN project to a rigorous cost benefit analysis.
- That such an analysis
include credible estimates of construction costs that incorporate actual
construction data, credible estimates of revenues given current trends in the
global telecommunications market, and the resulting implications for end user prices
given NBN Co’s currently proposed SAU and pricing.
- That the Government
investigate means of delivering super fast broadband that permit a more prudent
level of investment, and hence less pressure from NBN Co for regulatory
settings that enable aggressive uplift and recovery of costs through rapid
increases in real revenue per user.
3. Analysts Question Whether Corporate Plan Revenues Achievable
- In August 2011 RBS analyst Ian Martin wrote in the Telecommunications
Journal of Australia[7]that NBN Co’s corporate plan appeared risky if taken at face value.
Risks to the Corporate Plan included cost blowouts building the NBN; and the
danger NBN Co may not meet its take-up targets (exacerbated by a very low
forecast of ‘wireless-only’ households in 10 years time).
- Other analysts have raised concerns that the NBN will
not be able to reverse the global telecommunications trend of the past decade
which has seen nominal revenues flatline despite huge increases in speeds and
data offered to customers.
- For instance, in August 2007 TPG offered an
18GB cap at $49.99. In 2013 it offers a 500GB cap at $49.99. Users have
enjoyed more and more data for the same price.
- NBN Co, in contrast, expects to lift monthly wholesale
revenue from $24 in FY2012 to $63 in FY2021.[8] Adjusted for inflation, revenue
per user more than doubles in nine years.
- UK analyst Robert Kenny recently wrote: “They [NBN Co] expect consumers to be willing to pay substantially
more to get higher speeds, with a result that the typical user increases their
spend by about 70% over the next decade. While it is intuitive that consumers
might pay more for higher speeds, as we have seen historically they haven't had
to.”[9]
![graph showing Telstra and NBN ARPU ($ per month)](https://aphref.aph.gov.au/House/committee/jcnbn/report4/dissent_files/image004.gif)
- There are also
questions about NBN Co’s projected revenues vis a vis the likely future size of
the entire Australian fixed line broadband and telephony market.
- Deutsche Bank analyst
Vikas Gour[10]
in October 2012 released research implicitly suggesting NBN Co’s actual
revenues could be below estimates. He forecast four retail service
providers (Telstra, Optus, TPG and iiNet) with 96 per cent of the market in
FY2024 would pay $3.8 billion to NBN Co in access fees that year.[11]
- Yet the NBN Co 2012-2015 Corporate Plan projects revenues
of $6.2 billion in FY2021 and $9.8 billion in FY2028.[12] This equates to
$7.9 billion in FY2024 if growth is assumed to be linear between NBN Co’s two
explicit estimates.
- Bluntly, NBN Co’s internal estimate of the 2024 fixed line
market, which relies on revenue per user increasing 9 per cent above the
inflation rate each year over a period of more than a decade , is twice as
large as that of a respected securities analyst whose work is subject to close
financial market scrutiny.
- A JP Morgan report on
Telstra[13]
projects in FY 2020 it will pay NBN Co $1.7 billion
for access and have a retail market share of 39 per cent. That implies access
revenue for the whole market of $4.4 billion. It compares to NBN Co’s FY2020
revenue estimate of $5.2 billion.
- The uncertain economic viability of the NBN is a large
potential liability for future Governments. NBN Co Chairman Harrison Young has
stated there is no legal requirement to provide taxpayers with a particular
return on investment : “Our Shareholder hasn't given us a return hurdle.
They've given us a task and asked us to keep them posted.”[14]
Recommendations
- That the NBN’s
modelling, analysis and detailed financial projections of its capital and
operating costs, and of future end user prices and demand, be made public.
4. Rollout Delays - Problems With Contractor Syntheo
- In 83 FSAMs where
construction of the fibre network began between June 2011 and March 2012, there
have been extensive delays.
- The ‘Monthly Ready
for Service’ rollout plans published on the NBN website showed that as of June,
the estimated construction timeframe to completion was 14.8 months on those 83
FSAMs.
- By December, the
average construction timeframe was 16.5 months with the vast majority FSAMs
still to be activated.
![graph showing NBN average construction times](https://aphref.aph.gov.au/House/committee/jcnbn/report4/dissent_files/image005.gif)
- At a recent estimates
hearing, NBN Co CEO Mike Quigley also said that forecasts for June 30 have had
to be revised down:
“You will also notice, if you look carefully there, that we
have slightly lowered the number of premises forecast to be passed by the end
of June 2013. In October we were forecasting just under 300,000 premises
passed; we are now forecasting almost exactly the target of 286,000. The reason
for the change is that one of our construction partners has significantly
reduced its forecast since we presented back in the October time frame.”[15]
- Mr Quigley said that
these revisions were due to the contractor for the Western Australia, South
Australia and Northern Territory rollout, Syntheo. On 25 FSAMs that Syntheo
began construction on between June 2011 and March 2012, not a single one is
ready for service.
- Mr Quigley also said
NBN Co has already paid its contractor Syntheo pre-payments, as is usual for
large construction contracts, and has a range of contractual protections
against non-delivery but refused to elaborate on them:
“Senator BIRMINGHAM: What contingencies does NBN Co.
have in place where contractors fail to meet their targets?
Mr Quigley: We have a range of the usual commercial
conditions you would expect in such contracts if a contractor is in default.
Senator HEFFERNAN: Such as?
Mr Quigley: We apply, obviously, penalties. We are not
going into details of the contracts.
Senator Conroy: This is a hypothetical question. The
company are not in default.
Mr Quigley: No, they are not in default.
Senator HEFFERNAN: Do they get paid in arrears or—
CHAIR: Order, Senator Heffernan! You do not have the
call.
Senator HEFFERNAN: I think it is a fair question to
ask.
Senator Conroy: You are asking
commercial-in-confidence questions.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: What is the nature of payments
made to Syntheo? Are there up-front payments made?
Mr Quigley: Yes, there are up-front payments made for
mobilisation for all of our construction contractors.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: Can you talk us through the
different types of payments that are made?
Mr Quigley: The payments are phased relative to the
different phases of the project. There is a design phase, then there is a build
phase, and there are various phases in the build. The payments are obviously
paid at the different phases, as they are completed.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: What payments have been made to
Syntheo to date in relation to these 25 FSAMs?
Mr Quigley: I do not have that number with me. There
have obviously been some payments made for the designs of each of those FSAMs
and some mobilisation payments. I could not give you the number off the top of
my head. I would have to take that one on notice.”[16]
Recommendations
- The NBN Co and
Government should urgently explore ways of speeding up deployment of super fast
broadband.
5. NBN Struggling to Connect to Multi Dwelling Units
- In May 2011, the NBN Co put out a request for
proposals for MDU cablers. The RFP stated the NBN was looking for companies to
carry out “installing fibre cabling and equipment within common areas of
existing MDUs using pre-supplied detailed designs and bills of material”[17].
- As of October 2012,
the NBN had still not signed contracts to connect MDUs. At a public hearing
into the NBN, the NBN Co’s Chief Operating Officer Ralph Steffens said:
“Mr Steffens: We are in trials with a number of
contractors. We are about to award the contracts for the MDUs.
Mr TURNBULL: Yes. Can you tell us who those
contractors are?
Mr Steffens: No, because we have not concluded it.
The number of MDUs passed I would need to take on notice.”[18]
- Mr Steffens also said
that the NBN Co has a particular problem with mapping information when it comes
to MDUs: “It varies dramatically, not only between the geography but also
between the types of premises. Multi dwelling units are typically a lot more
inaccurate than single-dwelling units. It is a significant percentage, but
there is a huge variety between the geographies.”[19]
- The NBN noted in its
2012 corporate plan that the difficulty in connecting MDUs has led to increased
capital costs: “NBN Co’s experience in initial deployment sites has highlighted
the challenges for connecting premises in MDUs and additional costs have
therefore been embedded in the 2012-15 Corporate Plan.”[20]
- The NBN stated in an
answer to questions on notice that only a very small percentage of MDUs passed
have been connected:
“As at 7 December 2012, more than one-third (35 per cent) of
Brownfields residential MDUs passed by the NBN either had an active service or
were able to order an active service. The definition of MDUs (refer page 93 of
the NBN Co Corporate Plan 2012-15) ranges from duplex type premises to 200 plus
unit apartment blocks. NBN is currently trialling different connection methods
in MDUs nationally in First Release Sites. The learnings from these trials to
date have led to some revisions in the scope of work to connect these premises
in a more efficient and cost effective manner. Many require a bespoke solution
different to single-dwelling units (SDUs) and this has resulted in some delays
is servicing these premises. NBN Co is working with the industry to provide
regular information to MDU owner's corporations and residents ahead of
connections. NBN Co is currently in negotiations with a number of specialist
contractors to supply project management, design and installation of fibre into
these premises. Field work commencement is imminent.”[21]
- The NBN also stated:
“As at 7 December 2012, there were 137 active connections in brownfields
residential MDUs”.[22]
- Two weeks later, the NBN Co issued a
press release which claimed the network had connected an additional 100 MDUs in
just two weeks: “So far NBN Co has rolled out the network to 237 residential
MDUs across Australia, with work underway on a further 131.”[23]
- On December 21, 2012,
the NBN Co signed a contract with construction firm Downer EDI and Universal
Communications Group Limited to service MDUs. The contracts were worth $87
million in total and will cover 17,600 blocks of apartments across four states and territories over the
next two years.[24]
- The NBN has also
created a national register for Multi Dwelling Unit strata managers to
coordinate connections to the network[25].
- However, it is of
concern that the NBN has still not signed contracts to connect MDUs in Western
Australia, South Australia and the Northern Territory.
- It is also unclear
whether the 17,600 blocks of apartments will cover the entire network build
over the next two years. The NBN Co has forecast that it will pass 1.1m
premises by the end of June 2014 in the fibre brownfields footprint and will
pass 178,000 premises in the fibre greenfields footprint.
- The NBN implementation
study found that MDUs account for 34 per cent of premises in Australia[26]. There are
431,000 buildings with 2-5 premises, accounting for a total of 1.135m
premises. There are 119,000 buildings with 5-25 premises, accounting for a
total of 1.268m premises. And there are 20,000 buildings with 25 or more
premises, accounting for a total of 1.211m premises.
- NBN Co’s current
contracts cover only 3 per cent of Multi Dwelling Unit buildings in Australia.
Recommendations
- The NBN is to publish
a register of all MDUs already ‘passed’ by the network, but which are unable to
connect to the network, to allow residents and body corporates to see when
services will become available.
- If an MDU building
cannot connect to the network, those figures should be excluded from the
figures reported as ‘premises passed’.
- The NBN should
immediately investigate international experience of connecting MDUs using
existing internal wiring, including Fibre to the Basement.
- The Shareholder
Minister’s Statement of Expectations to the NBN Co should be amended so that
the NBN Co is no longer expected to terminate the fibre at each individual
premises. The NBN Co should be given scope to terminate the fibre at an
appropriate distance from the end user’s premises, as would still allow the
delivery of very fast broadband.
6. NBN and DBCDE Spending Excessively on Advertising Without Measuring
Effectiveness
- In May 2012
estimates, the NBN claimed its overall marketing spend for 2011-12 would be
$8.12 million.[27]
- Yet in its annual
report, the NBN listed ‘Communication and marketing
campaigns’ as having cost $11.226 million in 2011-12[28]. This
represents a 38 per cent blowout in what was reported to Estimates in May.
- Recent media reports
revealed various Government departments have spent $29 million on NBN-related
advertising since 2010 and that the Department is planning a further $20
million spend in 2012-13[29].
- The NBN has stated
that its media expenditure is forecast to be approximately $11.9 million for
2012-13[30].
- Given that the NBN is
forecasting 78,500 net subscriber gains in 2012-13, this level of expenditure
appears excessive. For each new customer, the NBN Co will spend more than $150
on advertising and the DBCDE will spend more than $250 on advertising.
- It is also important
to note that the NBN is not selling services direct to consumers. So the NBN’s
advertising is on top of the money spent by RSPs who ultimately form the
relationship with individual customers.
- In addition, the NBN Co
employees 52 staff in its media/communications division[31]. As at June 30, the NBN
Co’s entire staff headcount was 1,674[32],
so the proportion of media and communications staff is very high.
- By comparison, ACMA
employs 15 media and communications staff members, the DBCDE employs 23 media
and communications staff and the Department of Education, Employment and
Workplace Relations employs 51 media and communications staff[33].
- It is also alarming
that Senator Stephen Conroy continues to misrepresent the NBN Committee’s
unanimous support for the advertising campaign. In October Estimates Senator
Conroy said: “The additional opex is also in part due to increased resources
at NBN Co. for public information campaigns—something you personally supported
in the joint parliamentary committee, as did Mr Turnbull. Let us not forget
that that was your recommendation, and NBN Co. has done just that.”[34]
- In fact, nothing
could be further from the truth. In the Third Progress Report on the NBN
issued by the Joint Committee, Coalition members issued a dissenting report
which included a recommendation stating: “The Government and NBN Co conduct a
review of its advertising spending for effectiveness and measure this against
uptake and other relevant metrics. Expenditure should be reduced unless it can
be demonstrated as providing value for money. The NBN Co should refrain from
advertising Stage One of the fibre rollout in suburbs and regional areas which
have not been included in the Stage One schedule”[35].
- Announcing an
additional $15 million spend by the Government in 2012-13, the Age
reported Joint Committee chairman Rob Oakeshott said the committee did not
recommend more advertising and the upcoming campaign would have to be a ''much
better standard of advertising than we have seen to date'' to justify the $14.7
million price tag. He said the last NBN campaign was “bland, blancmange and
shameless … that in the eyes of many was a waste of money”[36].
Coalition Criticism of NBN Advertising Campaigns
- Promotional material
was published in regions not included in stage one of the rollout, creating
confusion over when the NBN will be available[37].
- Much of the material
created a false impression that many services and applications that are of
public benefit can only be delivered on a fibre-to-the-premise network[38].
- There was
insufficient focus on pressing public interest issues, such as the
decommissioning of the copper network and the lack of RSPs offering services
over the NBN’s Uni-V ports.
Recommendations
- The NBN Co and the
DBCDE need to measure the effectiveness of their overall advertising and
marketing spending, to justify any ongoing increases.
- Both the NBN Co and
the DBCDE should conduct research into public perceptions and understanding of
key policy issues such as:
- The
looming decommissioning of the copper network in areas where FSAMs are active.
- Retail
offerings for essential services, such as analogue medical device connections.
- A home
owners’ responsibility in terms of replacing battery back-ups.
- If the research shows
deficient community awareness of key public interest topics, the current
spending on marketing and promotion of the NBN need to be redirected to address
them.
7. NBN Looking to Sign Longer Contract Periods
- It was reported last
October that the NBN is investigating extending the contract period for future
contracts to fixed four year terms[39].
- In recent estimates
the NBN refused to comment on current contract negotiations:
“Mr Quigley: We are in the process of having
discussions with all of our contractors. I cannot give you a date when they
will be concluded or contracts signed. Obviously with all of our contracts we
look to renewing them as they fall due.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: The initial contracts were on the
basis of two year plus one plus one year?
Mr Quigley: With the construction contractors, yes.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: Is NBN Co. looking at a variance
to that for the renewables?
Mr Quigley: We may. Until we finish the discussions I cannot
give you an answer on that.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: Are reports that you are offering
fixed four-year terms for contractors correct?
Mr Quigley: I will not comment on what we may or may
not be offering with particular contractors.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: Why is NBN Co. looking at changing
its contract periods?
Mr Quigley: We only look at changing contract periods
if we believe there is an advantage to NBN Co. to do so—in other words, we can
get the build done with greater certainty and at a lower rate.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: When does NBN Co. need to resolve
those contracts by?
Mr Quigley: I suspect we will want to have some of
them that are falling due in the middle of this year done before then. We need
to renew them before then.”[40]
Recommendations
- The benefits of
changing contract terms in the lead up to the September 14 election need to be
clearly articulated by the NBN Co.
- The NBN Co and its
board should be clearly mindful of a possibility of a change of Government and
the need to alter contracts down the contract. The NBN Co and its board should
ensure suitable flexibility is written into the terms of future contracts. If
this is not possible, then the likely costs of changing and lengthening
contract terms need to be weighed against perceived benefits.
8. Lack of Transparency and Accountability in Reporting to the Committee
Take-up Rates
- Take-up rates have a
direct bearing on the rate of return for the NBN project, even when taking into
account the fact that NBN Co will eventually be the national monopoly wholesale
provider of fixed line broadband and voice services. Therefore, accurate and
regular reporting of take-up rates is necessary for the Committee to understand
the true state of the NBN rollout.
- To date, reporting of
take-up rates by NBN Co has been unsatisfactory. NBN Co provided the following
response to the Committee, after being asked in September 2012 to provide daily
activation rates for the NBN fibre network:
- “NBN Co has not done this calculation as it is not meaningful
at this stage of the roll-out based on a number of factors impacting the
calculation including the time taken to finalise the Definitive Agreements.
With the Definitive Agreements now unconditional and NBN Co able to ramp up the
rollout of the NBN fibre network, NBN Go's 2012-15 Corporate Plan is
forecasting a daily run rate for FY2013 of up to 201 (pg 37 refers) for fibre
premises connected.[41]
- NBN Co bills RSPs for
each customer they connect to the NBN network, so it is extremely unlikely that
NBN Co cannot provide accurate and timely figures for the number of customers
connected to the network in a given period of time. Indeed, if it cannot
provide such figures, the Committee is entitled to ask how the company is
accurately billing RSPs.
Combining ISS and Wireless in Premises Passed/Covered Figures
- NBN Co has at times
included premises passed by the NBN Interim Satellite Service (ISS) with
premises passed by the wireless network when reporting to the Committee.[42] Combining
premises passed figures for the ISS and wireless networks does not allow the
Committee to develop a clear picture of how the network rollout is progressing.
Inaccurate and Delayed Answers to Questions
- NBN Co has, on many
occasions, failed to either answer questions accurately or to provide answers
within the requested timeframe, or both. This failure to provide timely and
accurate answers to questions severely hampers the Committee’s ability to
properly report to Parliament on the progress of the NBN project, as required
by the Committee’s Resolution of Appointment.
- By way of example, Mr
Hartsuyker placed questions 19 and 20 on notice following the public hearing on
16 April 2012. The questions related to additional costs incurred by NBN Co to
prepare the Bonnyrigg greenfields development in western Sydney for fibre
installation. NBN Co provided answers in early June, which were not entirely
accurate. The Committee sought clarification from NBN Co on 26 June 2012. The
Minister responded on 10 August with new information, some of which
contradicted the initial answers given by NBN Co. The Committee sought further
clarification about the contradictory answers on 16 August, with a final
response received by the Committee on 20 August 2012. The outcome of this
series of events was that it took four months to obtain accurate answers to a
small number of relatively straightforward questions.
- As a result of the
example above, and other instances of inaccurate or delayed responses from NBN
Co, it is difficult not to conclude that NBN Co and the Shareholder Ministers
are at best seeking to avoid scrutiny of the NBN project, or at worst,
systematically limiting the Committee’s ability to carry out its functions
effectively.
Recommendation
- NBN Co provide the
JCNBN with a standard monthly progress report not more than ten days after the
end of each month, setting out the number of premises passed in the previous
month by the fibre network, the number of premises passed in the previous month
by the wireless network, and the number of premises that were connected to the
network on each of the fibre, wireless, and satellite networks, and at what
speed tier.
Hon
Malcolm Turnbull MP
Member
for Wentworth
on
behalf of the Coalition Members of the Joint Committee
on the National Broadband Network